In summary:
- Ethereum’s price is consolidating below $400 and above the $365 support zone.
- A loss of $365 for ETH could break Ethereum’s bullish run in the crypto markets.
- $365 was Ethereum’s peak value in 2019.
- However, if Bitcoin maintains its course above $11,500, Ethereum could have a chance at rekindling its bullish drive.
Low trade volume is a characteristic of most weekends in the crypto markets. According to Coinmarketcap, Ethereum’s daily trade volume on Friday, August 7th, was approximately $12.9 Billion. The same Ethereum trade volume now stands at $9.9 Billion signifying a drop of approximately 23%.
Ethereum’s Bullishness Depends on the $365 Support Zone
The low trade volume has had an effect on the price movement of Ethereum in the sense that ETH has been consolidating, without much volatility, between the $400 resistance zone and the $365 support zone. The latter value is a crucial area of interest for Ethereum for it was ETH’s peak value last year, 2019.
Failure of Ethereum to hold this value could signify an end to its bullish momentum and the return of a slow downward spiral for Ethereum in the crypto markets.
A quick glance at the 6-hour ETH/USDT chart above, reveals the following.
- Ethereum’s trade volume is low and indicates a reduction in selling pressure.
- The 6-hour MACD had attempted to cross in a bullish manner above the baseline before continuing on its downward path.
- The 6-hour MFI is in neutral territory at a value of 46.
- The 6-hour 50-MA also provides an area of support around $365.
It all Depends on Bitcoin’s Weekly Close
As much as Ethereum investors and enthusiasts would want to see ETH decouple from Bitcoin, the digital asset’s fate is still highly tied to that of BTC.In an earlier analysis, it had been concluded that a Bitcoin weekly close above $11,500 is what is needed for BTC to remain in bullish territory.
Given the aforementioned close correlation between BTC and Ethereum, it can, therefore, be loosely concluded that ETH’s battle to remain above $365 is tied to Bitcoin’s ability to close the week above $11,500.
As with all analyses of Ethereum, traders and investors are advised to use stop losses as well as low leverage during uncertain times.